I have proposed that a scenario of slower-than-disruptive tech development over the next 15-20 years combined with weak or reduced opposition to human enhancement could result in “increasing irrelevance” for transhumanists. But what exactly does that mean?
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Posted by
Giulio Prisco on 03/09 at 02:14 PM
I think the transhumanist spirit has only little to do with the expected pace of technology development.
Transhumanists think human enhancement, from moderate prosthetics to disruptive breakthroughs like indefinite lifespans (aka immortality) and mind uploading, are feasible and desirable in principle.
Most transhumanists realize that reality is more complex than simple mathematical models, and the actual pace of technology development may well be much slower than we wish.
I don't think our generation will see immortality and mind uploading. More specifically, I don't think I will live long enough to see mind uploading, and I don't think I will live much longer than my grandfather. This makes me sad. Does this mean I am not a transhumanist?
Not at all, quite the contrary. I do think future generations will see immortality and mind uploading, and I think their lives will be much better for it. This makes me happy. I do think the efforts of our generation are contributing to wonderful outcomes for our grandchildren. I wish them a very long, very interesting cosmic journey with awesome vistas much beyond our imagination, and I am happy for them. This is why I call myself a transhumanist.