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IEET > Security > SciTech > Life > Access > Innovation > Vision > Futurism > Technoprogressivism

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Tech Pace Fast, Opposition Uncertain: IEET Readers


Posted: Mar 19, 2010

By an overwhelming majority, respondents to a recently concluded poll said they expect the pace of development in emerging technologies to remain swift over the next two decades, but they are divided over how strong the opposition will be to human enhancements.



Which of these four scenarios for the future of transhumanism over the next 15 or 20 years do you think is most likely?

image

Here is how the question was originally defined...

Opposition to Transhumanism: Will it be strong, perhaps even getting stronger as transformative new technologies emerge? Or will it weaken, either due to slower than expected tech development or because a large majority of people simply accept transhumanist concepts without much argument?

Emerging Technology Development Pace: How fast will nanotechnology, bio-engineering, machine intelligence, and robotics—among other technologies—continue to develop? Is the pace likely to quicken, or might things slow down a bit, perhaps due to a sluggish global economy or because the work itself is so extremely difficult?


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COMMENTS


I don't see much opposition to many technologies. The only ones that are opposed in more than a token way are those involving embryonic stem cells and abortion. Other forms of technology that are applied to humans get no more than token opposition. For example, no one complains that it's immoral to use cosmetics that claim to rejuvenate your skin or to have your torn anterior cruciate ligament replaced to make your knee more trustworthy. Technologies that may be realized further in the future, such as AGI may seem to some people as morally troubling as abortion, but I expect many transhumanist dreams, especially those that have little to do with sexuality and reproduction, not to face much political opposition. This goes particularly for anti-aging treatments which are on a lot of levels and obvious good. I actually see transhumanism, at least for now as a sideshow to environmental issues though radical increases in longevity or AGI may change that if they are realizable.



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