Just as technology has the capacity to create, it can also destroy. It is crucial lived concepts like scarcity is identified so a life of abundance can fill destructive voids left behind. With enough collaborative expertise drawn to conclude that “giving gives more giving” and that “taking takes more taking,” the capacity to harmonize between these spheres can ensure that all of us have greater potential to live more preferred lives while limiting the causes of harm to oneself and others.
Economic conditions in the United States and elsewhere must change as mounting
evidence suggests economic downturn. Lives that rely on economic activity are
at best uncertain for those economies that sustain themselves with the bread
and butter of service and information economies. In response to such
foreseeable problems, a Mutual form of Assured Production or MAP (as opposed
to MAD) is proposed to provide a more equalized and sustainable economic
methodology with an underlying ideology based on a concept of universal
harmony favorable to life. We begin with a Basic Income (BI) as a short-term
solution, followed by an implementation of Personal Productive Nanosystems
(PPN) maintained by an Open Personal Productive Nanosystem Network (OPPNN).
With programs like this in place, the need for coercive activity from both the
top (e.g. state and corporate) and the bottom (e.g. unionism and
anarcho-syndicalism), proffered incessantly throughout history, will greatly
diminish and become largely unnecessary in the
future.
With the adoption of foreseeable self-sustainable productive systems, life
could be more liberating than imaginable. More personally satisfying
relationships could have time and an environment to develop as personal
interest takes the place of intellectual and material demands, relied upon
from one another for so long. Before describing MAP, BI, PPN, and OPPNN, let’s
take a look at why such a variety of acronymic proposals are
discussed.
As long as people in parts of the world are starving, there’s an economic
problem afoot. Until believed by enough that starvation can end and that life
can continue and multiply indefinitely, with concerted diligence, the capacity
to end misery altogether is just but a few steps away. Even so-called
post-industrial societies like the United States have plummeted into debt
since the early ‘90s with no end in sight, largely due to stagnate wages
overall, which began around the same period; and from the looks of college
graduate wages, labor markets as a whole are approaching downturn. For those
who comprehend (if at all possible) and accept the Technological Singularity
thesis understands that it is only a matter of time before labor vanishes
altogether. More than the pulse of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will need to
determine overall well being for a population in which a country’s GDP is
quantified. With the rise of debt, so too have debt bubbles grown, the largest
of which are aburst, unable to remain due to rampant defaults from those who
could not afford a loan to begin with. As current trends suggest, wages
overall are expected to decrease, and as for U.S. GDP, unless exports or war
profiteering increases (both false signs of prosperity for the many), will
follow incomes into a downward spiral. Once the rich are greatly devastated or
the poor become ever more rampant—only at that time, it seems—will the demand
for reformulation of economic policy toward greater prosperity and well being
come to fruition. Let us hope the bumpy ride ahead finds its way quickly to
smoother ground for which this writing intends to bring into
view.
In the days of old, feudalism was the norm. Hierarchy was rigid, livelihoods
were at the mercy of everyone else, and resources such as food were highly
scarce within an early pre-industrial agrarian framework. A few years with
little rainfall would ensure famine and starvation, traditionally followed by
massively fatal diseases to thin the heard, only to continue the same rigid
cycle over again. Right was right and wrong was wrong, ignorance or refusal to
abide by norms were given harsh ramifications at once, and if persistently
refused, measures to end the life of one not in alignment with the rules,
swiftly done away with. For the avidly social, the ability to communicate in
these times often meant the difference between life and
death.
Technological development through human communicative exchange has ever so
gradually loosened greatly the chains of material interdependence and social
rigidity that once existed. Societies have gradually stumbled, war after war;
struggle after bloody struggle, into once unforeseen abundance in many
areas.
Abundance can be described as a synthesis of two worlds. In one world, a
single source remains centralized and constant, without depletion—while in
another world—the source is accessible from any location, as a technological
singularity (rather than the Singularity) of sorts. Abundance is a resource
freely available ad infinitum for anyone who may have an interest in its
acquisition, like a cake that never runs out of slices. This poses some
problems for contemporary economists because of a divide by zero dilemma, and
more importantly, if abundant items were introduced into a marketplace, it
would end the market as soon as it entered, given the item is authentically
abundant.
The written word, personal and portable computing and communications, and the
Internet are all examples of where technologies like productive systems have
developed, as various computer technologies after billions of dollars of
investment now cost very little, with limited human effort and minimal
investment. Just like the printing press that liberated the written word, the
telephone that expanded the voice of verbal communication—and more
recently—the rise of the World Wide Web, fusions such as these have unified
communications while simultaneously decentralizing its use, which has helped
foster the expansion of once costly information into nearly free resources.
This of course is only one step toward many others, and it’s likely the first
attempt will stumble and fall, as new beginnings usually do. Eventually it
will walk and then advance toward the speed of light, and quite possibly,
beyond. There are many ways toward prosperity, particularly when it’s so
generally defined, as it must be. It is only a matter of making the right
choices that advance it, whether sooner or later, and its forms will be
many.
Merchants, once a minority class, evolved from the lowly peddler in the market
square of small towns, then later, to inventor-entrepreneur turned robber
baron in cities and nations. The majority of early 21st century economic
activity is mostly dealt by an interwoven elite global corporate power, one
fueled by the dominion of scarcity and shielded by corporate brands fashioned
by the best of aesthetically attuned design firms, all of which represent the
face of a robber baron of another
sort.
Inflation happens in two ways: with either too much or too little. Deflation
is equally troubling if sales are not made above manufacture costs. To keep
inflation and economic equilibrium in check, government and private firms must
work in tandem. Because free corporations are designed to hoard with the help
of intellectual property rights, retentive profit capacities must persist to
remain in the game. Minimal government regulation from this sphere is
preferred. This means that if corporate preference is met, government policy
is sacrificed for its proliferation. As company monopolies grow larger and
poor minority individuals grow poorer, it is only a matter of time before such
unbridled capitalism stagnates economic inputs and outputs, as the wizardry of
cybernetic analysis demonstrates: growth will hinder, inflate prices, and
collapse markets in short order. To a certain degree this is already
happening, the affect of which already described. The United States provides
an ideal model for this sort of behavior, however ethically unsound it may
seem.
Drug and insurance companies provide for healthcare knowing full well what
they are designed to do: grow financially rather than provide sufficient care.
This is because, well, insufficient care is profitable. Cures would mean
market collapse for the superpowers of pharmaceutical and insurance
conglomerates and for the entire medical industry. Shouldn’t a doctor
represent your health rather than a drug or insurance company? Fortunately, we
have the capacity to help ourselves to cures rather than treatments, by
adopting the philosophy of abundance rather than that of scarcity. A good
start would be to establish universal healthcare in the United States like
other wealthy nations. The open source software community is a gleaming gem
amidst a sea of dull and miserable greed, which has demonstrated exceedingly
that better tools are designed if they are freely given away for further
refinement. It is up to us to set greed aside and understand that giving
ensures more giving in the long run. Open source technology does not have to
remain in the software domain, and as many in the Trans(Post)humanist and
Singularity communities foresee and discuss, it will eventually spread to them
all.
In the abstract Robots: Re-Evolving Mind or Mass Utility Robots this Decade,
Full Automation this Century, as such a title implies, Hans Moravec, in the
last sentence clearly states, “By mid-century no human task, physical or
intellectual, should be beyond effective automation.” This conclusion was
drawn with the evolution of robotics firmly in mind. Eventually, as foresight
becomes onsight, assemblers at the molecular scale will fashion atoms together
bit by bit into a finished formation using a method of manufacture termed
Productive Nanosystems. Eric Drexler calls it, “programming atoms like bits.”
In theory, virtually anything physically conceived could be constructed using
simple raw materials found in every day surroundings. The Center for
Responsible Nanotechnology has given the timeframe to be somewhere between
2010-25.[1]
The Technology Roadmap for Productive Nanosystems
[2]
is an insightful exploration and plotting of PN’s
trajectory.
Before anything is constructed
with human effort, the concept of harm now takes precedence; besides, this
anything could be an explosive
device that wipes the earth off the solar systemic map! Because this conceived
dilemma is already heavily discussed, the point here is one briefly made to
recognize that as the capacity to create becomes of ease, so too—and often
times more easily—destruction can arise. If Ben Goertzel’s projections are
accurate, an Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) will help manage systems
(otherwise known as day-to-day affairs) within 5-9 years time
[3][4]
in a manner that will understand harm to a greater extent than the human mind.
The essay, Stages of Ethical Development in Artificial General Intelligence
[5]
by Bugaj and Goertzel, presents a feasible way AGI could foreseeably interact
harmoniously with others. It cannot be understated. The integrative
culmination of AGI and Productive Nanosystems are essential for the
continuation of life on earth and
elsewhere.
So, how does one bridge the gap between manufactured goods often made abroad
in various global regions to a portable system like that of a Personal
Productive Nanosystem? And what might this device look like? The iPod seems a
likely candidate, although the politics of the One Laptop Per Child
organization best align with the proposals stated here. So instead, let’s
imagine a future XO subnotebook computer, freely distributed to kids and
adults alike. Only, the XO would not only help to educate, it could also feed,
cloth, and house the user in whatever manner preferred. It may be best that
before journeying forth into the likes of futurist prophecy, let’s first
describe the steps in which prophecy can materialize into reality by
describing how manufacturing systems and labor economies might evolve, in a
manner which purposefully avoids
timetables.
It will no longer be competitively advantageous or necessary to purchase
materials or finished goods from abroad. With demand for robotics in Japan,
this helped spur development in a variety of related technologies, and
particularly, helped care for a growing aging population otherwise physically
impossible most of the time. Robots similar to ones that entertained and
delivered medications are now more dynamic and no longer occupy the narrow
assignments of convalescent care or retailing. They are more fluid and less
mechanical in manner. Infused with what was once called AGI, these sometimes
human-like representations can shift into many shapes and manufacture
virtually anything by means of molecular engineering, given it does not bring
others to harm. It understands us better than we
do.
These machines communicate in a way that may seem alien at first. It’s not
that the device talks like a simple mechanism—quite the opposite. Robotics
with this form of sophistication use a type of communication technology called
affective computing, but others won’t know the wiser, it acts like a kind
person. Those who interact with the machine can’t help but treat it as kindly
as it treats others. In fact, aging isn’t so bad because this darned thing
told me some guy—who resembles a wizard in some Tolkien novel—found a cure for
the cell deterioration that causes death. So what the hey-who, I guess it
wouldn’t hurt to live a little longer so I can watch my grandchildren grow
old.
A basic income is distributed equally to individuals so they can purchase
goods that remain scarce or are difficult to duplicate for the time being. You
see, we’ve since understood that machines can be used to end the toil rather
than increase it, which was the case with you folk at the dawn of the century.
Besides, I think those in the past were tricked—thinking they where free. We
now view wage labor as just a different form of slavery, neither of which
would be very tolerable today if we had to revert back to taking orders from
an overworked boss or soon to be ex-wife or worrying over bills. There are no
bosses here, just those who are either interested in having your companionship
or not. I no longer have to work all day to feed my family. This in a sense
created a new series of problems! You see, I wasn’t used to having so much
free time, and I quickly realized that the family I worked so hard to support
wasn’t worth spending time with in the first place. Those where cynical and
rather superficial times… The transition was hard on all of us of course, but
in the end we knew it was best that we went our separate ways and live around
others more compatible and attuned to our unique, natural preferences. I still
love my kids, of course. I see them from time to time. It’s easy to stay in
touch.
I now have a dog I fashioned up with the help of my XO. Okay, so it’s not
really an XO. Shrapney does amazing things! Explosive and metallic sounding
name aside, he’s a real live dog, you know, the organic and biological kind,
my own special breed fit to spec. We get along real nice because he likes what
I like and usually doesn’t like what I don’t. That gets boring after awhile
though, having a dog so similar to yourself. I think I’ll make my next breed
more different than myself next time, but I’m rather attached as it is. I may
not make another doggy. I could use some surprises every once in a while, you
know. Isn’t that what us human folk are designed
for?
I remember reading somewhere that some guy somewhere wrote an essay on how we
might live in the future. Come to find out, it was nothing like he had
planned. The outcome was rather similar to his thinking though. A few of those
futurists people got a few things right. They can certainly have pretty close
to what they anticipated anyhow. Now anyone can do basically as they please,
given it don’t disturb anyone. Those folks who called themselves
transhumanists or cyborgs or whatever had their fill, most of them I never
talked to
anyhow.
Setting an emergent unknown personal narrative aside for a moment, let’s begin
a dialogue that names particular systems this future spokesperson might use in
day-to-day
affairs.
I believe they called it Personal Productive Nanosystems in the beginning. I
remember that only because it sounds like “pen” when abbreviated. Whatever you
need, you search what you might call the nanofactory database to find what you
want. It remembers your preferences, so you can either choose what you made
before or have it snaz things up a bit. Sometimes I do that just to get a
thrill, it never fails to surprise me, as often as I say nothing surprises me
much anymore—which doesn’t surprise me. At any rate, this interface was once
called something silly like Open Productive Nanosystem Network. I know that
because it sounds like “open” when said as an acronym. This concept of
openness is what liberated us from the torment of labor. Like I said, there’s
no need for that anymore. If you feel like thinking up something new, or doing
something, you consult this interface for a bit and there you have it. It
could be a work of something made or remade; anyone who browses the network
can find it. You can also use it as a day planner, either by writing one up
yourself or having it do one for you, or a combination. It’s good at giving
suggestions if you want them. People add things to it all the time and think
of the craziest things. Some people still type; it’s faster that way for some
folks. I prefer to think when I want something. Biofeedback is sophisticated
enough these days to read brain waves and such. Yes, like I said, typing is
faster for some folks. They can type faster than they can think you
know!
So you remember government, right? Those fancy government buildings are all
museums now. Well, before I get into this, saying something like that could be
considered controversial and all. It’s a common perception in your time to
believe that people need other people to enact laws to keep things in line or
help get us the things we can’t get as small fries. There’s not much use for
kingships or fiefdoms or small fridoms here. That may burst your
bubble—perhaps it seems impossible—to know that now anyone can do what they
need to do without writing a congressperson or protesting, or rallying up for
some other form of nonsense. If you have a problem with someone or a group of
someones these days, you stand up on your hindquarters, look ‘em in the eye,
and tell ‘em (whether by v-mail or otherwise)! Things can always be worked
out; there’s always a way to compromise. I guess there always was, it’s just
easier
now.
Its no longer a burden to visit a friend for extended amounts of time, because
going to another’s house is a lot like going to your own. Anything you might
like can appear in alignment with you and your friend’s preferences if the
room is one you both occupy. This includes adjustment of lighting, décor, and
the like in a way that’s pleasing to both peeps, given we choose to have any
of that stuff cluttering the room in the first place. I like to keep things
simple,
personally.
A word on real estate—didn’t some guy say, “property is theft?” Well, property
isn’t so much theft, because we haven’t much use for either of the two. It’s
not that privacy is no longer necessary, it’s still just as important as it
was then. Everyone needs a little alone time to get things collected. There’s
always a place for that. If it’s family life you’re hungry for, there’s a
place for that too. Usually people like a little of both or somewhere in
between. Room or rooms can always be made to taste for any occasion that may
arise.
Transportation isn’t really a problem. Batteries have very high capacities and
can nearly launch something into space. I guess if the battery where big
enough, it could! Since I’ve thought of it, I’m sure somebody’s already done
that. Wireless energy really took off too, its rather novel at the time of
this publication, but we’ve found it to be useful in keeping things going for
those things that need electricity from an outside source. Most items today
are able to extract energy from the environment though. I guess you could say
wireless transference of energy is somewhat old hat, unless you where to need
a lot of it at one time for some silly
reason.
It’s difficult to describe the future outside narrative without knowing
something will, no doubt, be overlooked later as new insights and experiences
come and as innovation continues. Detail is a task that easily spans infinity.
Things are often described in stark detail in so-called non-fiction or written
about in sci-fi, most of which relies on severe unforeseen problems to
overcome—technology often posed as a problem than a solution. Both methods of
storytelling are bound to sound dated for the reader decades from now, serving
as historical text. Of course writing concisely is necessary for obvious
reasons in the technical areas touched upon earlier. Not detailing the
fineries of the specific would make such a life previously illustrated
impossible, however crudely articulated by our future guest narrator, one who
happened to invade this once formal
essay.
Further descriptions of Productive Nanosystems and Artificial General
Intelligence and other essential technologies will be left to those more
interested in understanding the finer and more scrupulous of details until
AGIs are capable of doing more than that of the human, including the more
intellectually avid ones. Rather than a technical treatise, this bit of garb
is intended to gently splash a few drops of radiance upon foreseeable problems
faced in the early 21st century, with a brief and somewhat playful
illustration of a few solutions brought forth by our anonymous spokesperson
from the future. This leaves the rest up for more detailed and grounded
discussion for another time on another
page.
Rigidly critical thought and overtly extensive argumentation aside, may the
future be one in which is most
preferred.
References
1.
Center for Responsible Nanotechnology: Estimating a Timeline for Molecular
Manufacturing
2.
Productive Nanosystems: A Technology
Roadmap
3.
The Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence: Interviews: Ben
Goertzel
4.
The Singularity Institute for Artificial Intelligence: Singularity Summit
2007: Nine Years to a Positive Singularity – If We Really, Really
Try
5.
Goertzel, B. Bugaj, S. Stages of Ethical Development in Artificial General
Intelligence Systems
Nathan Cravens is a former intern of the IEET, and a founder and organizer of the Effortless Economy Institute, a think tank that tracks the evolution of automation technologies and how they have, are, and will likely affect economic, social, and ethical beliefs and behaviors.